Jeunes Gens 17 REG 3 · Round 5
Sat 30 May
Individual matches
Round: Qualification 1st round
21 Aug · 15:00
Round: Round of 16
12 Aug · 17:00
What the calculation predicted
Victor, you grabbed a set off Téo, the fire is still burning. Page turned, we go again next time out.
My 61 % on Victor Arnould, built on 4 wins to 2 losses and 56 % of games won, missed: a three-set loss to Téo. A games margin guarantees nothing.
I said one game looks lovely on a shelf. Now you bring home a whole set, Victor, that's progress... genuinely, that's progress.
Pre-match prediction
Victor, yesterday you handed over nothing at all: 6/0 6/0. Keep that hunger, walk onto the court and do it again.
Both players sit at C30.5, so the gap comes from results: Victor Arnould is 4 wins to 2 losses over his last 6 matches with 56 % of games won, against 4 wins to 6 losses and 48 % of games for Téo Fondu. Both beat Jean-Pierre Vansant, but the games margin favours Victor, hence a 61 % win probability.
Victor, two days ago you walked away with one single game from the whole match. Lovely as a souvenir, less so on a scoresheet.
Round: 2nd round
11 Aug · 18:00
What the calculation predicted
6/0 6/0, Victor! That's exactly the version I was talking about: you walked on and rolled right over it. Superb!
Prediction confirmed: 94 % called, and Victor Arnould closed it out 6/0 6/0 without conceding a single game to Jean-Pierre Vansant. The real level gap was just as stated.
I said you'd get there walking... you actually ran. Your racket came back from holiday earlier than expected, Victor.
Pre-match prediction
Victor, your win on 30/05/2026 against Achille Furnemont (same ranking, C30.5) by 6/2 6/3 shows that when you hold your level, you roll! And on 25/05/2026, a 6/0 6/3 against Mathis Steinier, ranked 1 rung below: you know how to start strong. Bring that version of yourself onto the court and this one is yours!
Over his last 4 reference matches, Victor Arnould shows 3 wins and 1 loss with 57 % of games won, including a 6/2 6/3 against Achille Furnemont (same ranking) on 30/05/2026. Jean-Pierre Vansant, over his last 20 matches, stands at 1 win and 19 losses with 18 % of games won, despite yesterday's 6/3 6/3 against Louis Gendebien (same ranking). With the ranking edge (1 rung) and a clearly higher real level, the win probability is 94 %, deliberately cautious since one of the two players has very few known matches.
Victor, your last match dates back to 30/05/2026, that's 2 months ago: your racket has had time to go on holiday, get a tan and come home. And we still remember that 6/2 6/1 against Mathys Lange (1 rung above) on 09/05/2026, where you collected three games in total, like a tip. Fine, at 94 % you could probably get there walking.
Round: Pre-qualification
10 Aug · 17:00
What the calculation predicted
You took that game in the first set against someone ranked 5 rungs higher, and that's a starting point. I said it before: matches like this turn on small details, now you just need those details to fall your way next time!
My forecast gave Victor a 12 % win probability and the 6/1 6/0 confirms the direction, even if the margin exceeds what 57 % of games won over the 4 reference matches suggested. The low confidence I flagged was warranted: with no data at all on Yann Hult, the figure could not capture the real gap any better.
I asked for one game as a souvenir and you brought one back: contract fulfilled. Come on, we all believed... well, almost all of us, I did mention a dark room, and it turns out there really was furniture.
Pre-match prediction
Victor, on 30/05/2026 you beat Achille Furnemont (C30.5, exactly your own ranking) 6/2 6/3: clean and convincing. Yann Hult is ranked 5 rungs higher, but your recent baseline shows 57 % of games won, and matches like this one turn on two or three key points. Go for it!
The ranking clearly favours Yann Hult, 5 rungs above, which puts Victor Arnould at a 12 % win probability. Over the 4 reference matches Victor is 3 wins and 1 loss with 57 % of games won, including a victory over Achille Furnemont (C30.5, same ranking) on 30/05/2026, while no recent data is available for Yann Hult. Confidence in the figure is low given the thin file, so it stays deliberately cautious.
Victor, your last match was on 30/05/2026, which is 2 months ago: your racket has had time to go on holiday, get a tan and come back. Against someone ranked 5 rungs higher that we know absolutely nothing about, it's like walking into a dark room and hoping there's no furniture. Good luck, bring back at least one game as a souvenir.
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Jeunes Gens 17 REG 3 · Round 5
Sat 30 May
Individual matches
Jeunes Gens 17 REG 3 · Round 4
Mon 25 May
Individual matches
Jeunes Gens 17 REG 3 · Round 2
Sat 16 May
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Jeunes Gens 17 REG 3 · Round 1
Sat 9 May
Individual matches
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Ranking and clubs evolution over time
| Date | Ranking | Ranking scale (equivalent) | Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | C30.5 | 5 | Tennis Club Incourt |
| 01/10/2025 | C30.6 | 3 | Tennis Club Incourt |
| 01/05/2025 | C30.6 | 3 | Tennis Club Incourt |
| 01/10/2024 | C30.6 | 3 | Tennis Club Incourt |
How your points (cumulative ranking) changed over time.
| Date | Current points |
|---|---|
| 17/08/2026 | 42,48 pts |
| 08/06/2026 | 44,02 pts |
| 10/04/2026 | 38,89 pts |
| 23/11/2025 | 21,60 pts |
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