Jeunes Gens 11 REG 3 · Round 3
Sat 23 May
Individual matches
Round: Semi-final
6 Sep · 09:30
What the calculation predicted
Alright, not your day Victor, but shake it off, next one's already calling!
Victor Mauquoy falls 4/2 4/2 to Valentin Chardon, confirming the 18% win probability and Chardon's favourite status.
Come on, we all believed... nah just kidding, Valentin was clearly the favourite here.
Pre-match prediction
Victor, you just smashed Lucas Debouverie 4/1, that momentum is real. Get out there and show what you've got!
Victor Mauquoy (11.8) faces Valentin Chardon (11.6), ranked 2 echelons higher. Over the last 20 matches, Victor sits at 10 wins and 10 losses (55% of games won), while Valentin has 12 wins and 8 losses (53% of games won), a stronger record that plays slightly against him at a comparable margin. Against common opponent Drake Ogilvie, Valentin won 4/1 4/2 while Victor lost 4/2, tilting things toward Chardon, who remains the favourite with an 18% win probability for Victor.
Victor, you fell 4/2 to Drake Ogilvie, while Valentin handled him without breaking a sweat. Hope your racket's got a plan B for this one!
Round: Pool B
What the calculation predicted
Victor, that 4/0 set against Lenzo on 21 August was the real thing. Bring that same hand onto the court and use it from the very first point.
Victor Mauquoy and Lucas Debouverie both hold an 11.8 ranking and have never met. Over his last 20 matches in Grade 3, Victor stands at 10 wins, 10 losses and 55 % of games won, while Lucas's file holds a single defeat from August 2025, too old and too isolated to count. Win probability: 50 %, with no clear favourite.
Victor, on 21 August you let a set slip away 4/1 without much of an argument. Your defence that day was a garden gate left wide open.
Round: Pool B
What the calculation predicted
Victor, that 4/0 against Lenzo was quick and clinical. Walk onto the court with that same racket and swing freely from the very first ball.
Over his last 20 matches (Grade 3), Victor Mauquoy sits at 10 wins and 10 losses with 55 % of games won, against 7 wins and 9 losses and 39 % of games for Drake Ogilvie, on comparable opposition. Drake is the better-ranked player (11.7 versus 11.8) and his actual level in this matchup is above his label, which makes him the favourite despite Victor's stronger game margin. Win probability for Victor: 45 %.
Victor, on 22/08 you handed over a three-setter to someone with your exact ranking. Your third set holds up about as well as a folding camping chair.
Round: Semi-final
22 Aug · 12:00
What the calculation predicted
Three sets, Victor, and nothing given away. Forget it and go again next time !
Prediction confirmed: 38 % for Victor Mauquoy, and Raphaël takes it 4/2 3/4 4/3, exactly the tight scenario the common opponents pointed to.
Three sets just to lose, Victor, you really got your money's worth out of that court booking. Well played anyway.
Pre-match prediction
Victor, that 4/0 against Lenzo Bernimont today was clean and beyond argument. Take that hand back out there and walk on like the net belongs to you!
Identical rankings (11.8) and no head-to-head: the decision comes from elsewhere. Over his last 18 matches in Grade 3, Victor Mauquoy sits at 9 wins and 9 losses with 56 % of games won, but the two common opponents (Liano Bernimont and Quentin Barbarin) lean towards Raphaël Carion, whose file is too thin to judge form. Win probability for Victor: 38 %, with low confidence given how few of Raphaël's matches are known.
Victor, that 4/1 against Donatien Steenhaut today went by fast. Your racket hit the showers before you even left the court.
Round: Pool B
21 Aug · 15:00
What the calculation predicted
4/1, page turned already, Victor. You beat Viggo, nobody takes that away from you. On to the next one.
Prediction confirmed: 10 % win probability for Victor Mauquoy, and the 4/1 loss to Donatien Steenhaut matches the game-margin reading. Nothing to revise.
4/1 against Donatien... come on, we all believed. Alright, joking, nobody believed. See you at the next one.
Pre-match prediction
Victor, yesterday you beat Viggo, ranked two rungs above you. Walk onto that court like someone who fears nobody.
Victor Mauquoy sits at 9 wins and 9 losses over his last 18 matches with 56 % of games won, while Donatien Steenhaut shows 9 wins and 2 losses over 11 matches with 73 % of games won, though his five most recent results are all more than a month old. Ranking and game margin favour Donatien, even if the real level revealed by Victor's results, including wins over opponents ranked two rungs above him, works in his favour. Win probability for Victor: 10 %.
Victor, you lost twice to Tiago, both times 4/3. That's not an opponent anymore, that's a subscription.
Round: Pool B
21 Aug · 14:00
What the calculation predicted
YESSS Victor! You walked on to grab that first game and walked off with the match. 4/3, what an answer!
A 50% call between two players ranked 11.8 with no head-to-head: complete uncertainty, and Victor Mauquoy takes it 4/3. The tightest possible score confirms nothing separated these two.
Fine, ok Victor, the mirror cracked first. But 4/3, admit it, that was close.
Pre-match prediction
Victor, yesterday you beat Viggo, who is ranked above you. That is your proof: the level is there, so walk onto that court and grab the first game.
Victor Mauquoy and Quentin Barbarin are both ranked 11.8 and have never met, which puts the win probability at 50%. Over his last 18 matches Victor is 9 wins and 9 losses with 56% of games won, with mixed results against players ranked 11.6 (two rungs above him). No matches are known for Quentin, so confidence is low and nothing separates these two players.
Victor, that 4/3 loss to Tiago yesterday was like missing your train with the conductor already in sight. And now you face the exact same ranking as yours: hello, mirror.
Round: Pool B
21 Aug · 12:30
What the calculation predicted
4/0, Victor! Same racket, same script, not a single game for Lenzo. Beautiful.
Prediction confirmed: a 95 % win probability was announced, and Victor Mauquoy takes it 4/0, exactly as in their only previous meeting.
Well Victor, you robbed me of my thriller. A 4/0 with zero drama, almost boring... kidding, nicely done.
Pre-match prediction
Victor, two weeks ago you beat Lenzo without giving him a single game. Grab the same racket and do it all over again.
With identical rankings (11.8 versus 11.8), the gap comes from results: Victor Mauquoy sits at 9 wins and 9 losses over his last 18 matches with 56 % of games won, against 0 wins in 8 matches and 2 % of games won for Lenzo. The three common opponents (Tiago di Natale, Liano Bernimont, Viggo Parent) also favour Victor, who won the only head-to-head meeting, hence a win probability of 95 %.
Victor, yesterday you went down 4/3 to Tiago di Natale. You turn every match into a thriller, even when nobody ordered the suspense.
Round: Pool A
What the calculation predicted
Victor, you're through without hitting a ball, and you were primed for it! Save that energy for the next one.
A win, but by walk-over: my 82 % for Victor Mauquoy against Maxence Drugman was never actually tested on court. The probability stands, the sample doesn't move.
So Victor, you win without touching a ball. Easily the most balanced match of your season.
Pre-match prediction
Victor, that 4/0 against Ethan Tricot (ranked 1 rung above you) on 06/08/2026 says it all: when you're switched on, you don't even hand over a game. Add your 4/0 against Cesario Mantesso, same ranking, that same day, and you arrive against Maxence with real momentum. Go get it!
Identical rankings (11.8 versus 11.8), so the results decide everything: Victor Mauquoy sits at 8 wins and 8 losses over his last 16 matches with 56 % of games won, against 1 win and 4 losses and 32 % of games won for Maxence Drugman over his last 5. Common opponents point the same way (both lost to Tiago di Natale, 11.6, and Thibaut Deschuyteneer, 11.7), but the gap in game margin remains clear, hence a win probability of 82 % for Victor Mauquoy, slightly tempered by a win tally built on tight matches converted.
Two days ago you lost 4/3 to Tiago di Natale: one more game and you were through, but hey, that's like missing your bus by three seconds, it still counts as a loss. Take comfort though: 8 wins and 8 losses over your last 16 matches is almost artistic balance. Perfectly centred, perfectly undecided.
Round: Pool A
What the calculation predicted
VICTOR! You'd already done it once, and you just did it again: 4/2 against Viggo. Clean serve, step forward, it works!
Prediction wrong: the 13 % win probability given to Victor Mauquoy did not hold, and Viggo Parent's 2 to 1 head-to-head lead is now level at 2 apiece. A model gives odds, not verdicts.
Fine, okay, 4/2, and there I was putting you on the sad side of the net. Admit it though: one game in there had you sweating.
Pre-match prediction
Victor, you've already pulled it off: on 10/07/2026 at 15:00 you beat Viggo 4/1, and he's ranked 2 rungs above you! Add your 4/0 win over Ethan Tricot (11.7, 1 rung above you) 4 days ago and you know the recipe: clean serve, step forward, nothing is decided in advance.
Viggo Parent, ranked 2 rungs higher, holds 16 wins and 4 losses over his last 20 matches with 60 % of games won, against 8 wins and 8 losses and 56 % of games for Victor Mauquoy over his last 16. Across the 5 common opponents Viggo comes out on top in 4 cases (only Baptiste Losseau beat both of them 4/3, on 10/07/2026), and the 3 head-to-heads stand 2 to 1 in his favour: the win probability for Victor Mauquoy is 13 %.
Against Tiago di Natale, Viggo won 4/3 on 06/08/2026, and you lost 4/3 2 days ago: same numbers, but you were on the sad side of the net, like someone showing up to the party exactly when they start stacking the chairs. Good news: at 4/3 you're one game short, so technically you've been one game from glory for a while now.
Round: Pool A
What the calculation predicted
Another 4/3, Victor! The door moved, it just didn't open. Next time you shove it through.
Prediction confirmed: Victor Mauquoy loses 4/3 to Tiago di Natale, the exact same one-game margin as in their only previous meeting, against a stated 23 % win probability.
4/3 again. Victor, you're so perfectly balanced you even lose by the smallest possible margin... come on, one game, just one!
Pre-match prediction
Victor, 4 days ago you dropped a clean 4/0 on Ethan Tricot, ranked 11.7, that's 1 rung above you: that's your real level right there! And against Tiago 2 days ago you went down 4/3, a single game away. There's no wall in front of you, just a door that needs one harder push.
The file favours Tiago di Natale: 15 wins and 5 losses over his last 20 matches with 60 % of games won, against 8 wins, 8 losses and 56 % of games for Victor Mauquoy over his last 16. Across the 5 common opponents the edge leans the same way (Tiago beat Thibaut Deschuyteneer 4/1 on 27/07, while Victor lost 4/3 to him on 23/07), and the only head-to-head, 2 days ago, went to Tiago 4/3. Victor Mauquoy's win probability is estimated at 23 %.
Losing 4/3 two days ago is the kind of scoreline that makes you re-read the sheet three times hoping a game rolled under the bench. A record of 8 wins and 8 losses in 16 matches: perfectly level, you're basically the club's spirit level. Good news: one more game and you're on the right side. Bad news: that's exactly what you said last time.
Round: Pool A
7 Aug · 17:00
What the calculation predicted
Victor, you already beat Viggo just three weeks ago (4/1), so you know exactly how to get the job done against him! With the head-to-head tied at 1-1, this is a totally open match. Go out there and make it count!
Victor Mauquoy (11.8) faces Viggo Parent (11.6), ranked two levels above him. The calculated win probability stands at 38%, reflecting the ranking gap and Viggo's strong recent form (four wins in a row this week). Victor has managed only one win from his last five matches, though the head-to-head is perfectly balanced at 1-1, with a narrow 4/3 loss to Viggo just two days ago.
Victor, four losses in your last five matches... including one against a guy at your exact same ranking level (11.8). At this point, the net has seen more of your balls than your own racket has! That said, you did beat Viggo 4/1 three weeks ago, so maybe you've got one more trick up your sleeve?
Round: Pool A
6 Aug · 15:00
What the calculation predicted
Victor, you crushed Lenzo Bernimont (11.8) just two days ago with a clean 4/0, so the form is absolutely there ! Ethan hasn't played a match in 10 months while you're coming in with full match sharpness. The momentum is on your side, go get it !
Victor Mauquoy (11.8) faces Ethan Tricot (11.7), one ranking step above him, with a calculated win probability of 52%: this is essentially a coin-flip match. Victor has played 5 matches in the last 7 days including a sharp 4/0 win, while Ethan has been inactive for 10 months, which significantly undermines his ranking edge.
Victor, you've lost 4 of your last 5 matches, including a retirement... and your opponent hasn't picked up a racket in 10 months ! Most players would find that comforting, but somehow you've made this a genuine nail-biter. Classic Victor energy !
Round: Pool A
6 Aug · 13:30
What the calculation predicted
Victor, you've played 5 matches in the last 7 days and you already beat a fellow 11.8 just two days ago, so you know exactly what it takes to win at this level ! Your opponent hasn't stepped on a court in over 3 months, which means you're coming in with a massive edge in match rhythm. Go out there and make it count !
Both players share the same 11.8 ranking, giving Victor Mauquoy a calculated win probability of 54%. A key contextual factor tilts the balance slightly in Victor's favour : he has played 5 matches in the past 7 days, while Cesario Mantesso's last 3 recorded matches all took place over 3 months ago, suggesting a significant difference in competitive sharpness. There is no head-to-head record between the two players.
Victor, you dropped 4 out of your last 5 matches this week, and now you're up against a guy who's basically been in hibernation for 3 months. If he somehow beats you straight off the couch, that's the kind of story that follows you to every club barbecue for the next year !
Round: Pool A
What the calculation predicted
Victor, just four days ago you beat Liano Bernimont (11.6) 4/2, while Lenzo lost to that same player 4/0 4/1 two weeks ago. That head-to-head comparison on a common opponent says it all! You're both ranked 11.8, but your recent form is clearly sharper. Go take this one!
Both players share the same 11.8 ranking, but recent form strongly favors Victor Mauquoy. Lenzo Bernimont has lost his last 5 consecutive matches over the past month, including heavy defeats against players ranked 11.6. On common opponent Liano Bernimont (11.6), Victor won 4/2 four days ago while Lenzo lost 4/0 4/1 two weeks ago. The model gives Victor a 64% probability of winning.
Victor, your last match against a player at your own level (11.8) ended in a 3/0 retirement... you literally walked off the court. But hey, Lenzo has lost five in a row, so at this point you two could probably flip a coin and call it a day!
Round: Pool A
What the calculation predicted
Victor, you already beat Viggo 4/1 just two weeks ago, so you know you can do it again! On top of that, you took down Liano Bernimont (11.6, the same level as Viggo) 4/2 only four days ago, which shows you're playing well right now. Go out there and back yourself!
Viggo Parent (11.6) holds a slight ranking edge over Victor Mauquoy (11.8), but the calculated win probability sits at exactly 50%. The most recent head-to-head favors Victor (4/1 win two weeks ago), and results against common opponents are largely even, with both players beating Ayden Racig 4/0 and both losing to Baptiste Losseau 4/3.
Victor, four days ago you lost 3/0 to Benoit Triquet, who is literally the same ranking as you (11.8). That's like losing a race to your own shadow. Let's hope Viggo hasn't checked the recent scores, or he's already celebrating!
Round: Pool A
What the calculation predicted
Victor, you already beat Liano just 4 days ago, 4/2, so you know exactly what it takes to get the job done against him! That recent win is your blueprint, go out there and do it again!
Victor Mauquoy (11.8) faces Liano Bernimont (11.6), who is two rankings levels above him, giving Victor a calculated win probability of 47%. The most recent head-to-head (4 days ago) favors Victor (1W/0L), though common opponents from that same day lean toward Bernimont, who beat Thibaut Deschuyteneer (11.7) where Victor lost.
Victor, you lost to Benoit Triquet (11.8) by retirement just 4 days ago, and Triquet is ranked exactly the same as you. Losing to your statistical twin is a bold strategy, let's see if you've got something different planned for today!
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Jeunes Gens 11 REG 3 · Round 3
Sat 23 May
Individual matches
Jeunes Gens 11 REG 3 · Round 2
Sat 16 May
Individual matches
Jeunes Gens 11 REG 3 · Round 1
Sat 18 Apr
Individual matches
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Ranking and clubs evolution over time
| Date | Ranking | Ranking scale (equivalent) | Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 11.8 | 1 | ROYAL TENNIS & PADEL CLUB DE MORLANWELZ-MARIEMONT |
| 01/10/2025 | 11.8 | 1 | ROYAL TENNIS & PADEL CLUB DE MORLANWELZ-MARIEMONT |
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