Player matches
R. CHAPELLE T.C. · 3 Sep 2026
Round: Pre-qualification 1st round
4 Sep · 20:00
What the calculation predicted
6/1 6/0, shake it off Nathan, the next one is the one that counts!
The 20% win probability set for Nathan Jaspard holds up: the clear-cut 6/1 6/0 scoreline against Hugo Bocq confirms it.
6/1 6/0... we all believed, Nathan, just kidding, that rescue plan can wait a bit longer!
Pre-match prediction
Nathan, you beat Baptiste Biard in three sets while Hugo lost to him. Grab that belief and storm onto the court!
On paper, Hugo Bocq (B-15.1) outranks Nathan Jaspard (B-4/6), but the real level shown by the results weighs more heavily: Hugo Bocq has faced clearly stronger opposition, with better game margins, while his win record (11 out of 20) counts slightly against him in tight matches compared to Nathan's record (8 out of 20, 46% of games won), though the two totals aren't directly comparable since they come from different levels of competition. The five common opponents, however, favour Nathan Jaspard. In the end, Nathan Jaspard's win probability is set at 20%.
Nathan, a week ago you were still losing 6/2 4/6 6/1... your racket asked for a rescue plan.
R. EXC. T.C. JUMET · 27 Aug 2026
T.C. HAVRE · 22 Aug 2026
Round: Qualification 1st round
17 Aug · 17:30
What the calculation predicted
Nathan, 6/2 6/1: you reminded him exactly who runs this court!
Prediction confirmed: 79 % win probability, and Nathan Jaspard takes it 6/2 6/1, dropping eight games in two sets. The single head-to-head was indeed the most reliable indicator.
Fine Nathan, 6/2 6/1, no tie-break, no suspense. And there I was selling the whole box set... my bad.
Pre-match prediction
Nathan, the last time Matthieu stood across the net, he walked off after two sets. Go remind him who runs this court.
Identical rankings (B-4/6), so that factor settles nothing. Nathan Jaspard sits at 8 wins and 12 losses with 49 % of games won over his last 20 matches, against 7 wins, 8 losses and 48 % of games for Matthieu, while showing a higher real level against players ranked above him (B-15.1, B-15). The only head-to-head, on 14/08/2025, went his way: win probability 79 %.
Nathan, 3 days ago you pushed it to a final-set tie-break and still lost. Suspense is nice, but you're selling the whole box set.
TENNISLAND REBECQ · 13 Aug 2026
Round: Last round of qualification
18 Aug · 18:00
Round: Qualification 1st round
16 Aug · 19:00
What the calculation predicted
Two tight sets, two sets taken, Nathan! I told you: nothing to fear from Joan, and you proved it out there.
Prediction confirmed: 68 % win probability given for Nathan Jaspard, and a 7/5 6/4 win right on script, two close sets converted against Joan van Elven, exactly where his record was vulnerable.
Right, your racquet didn't hand in its notice, it signed an extension. I take it all back, Nathan... nearly all.
Pre-match prediction
Nathan, you dropped the opening set against Loïs Defoing and still turned that match around. A player who fights back like that fears nothing from Joan: get on court and take it.
Nathan Jaspard and Joan van Elven share the same B-4/6 ranking, so the gap comes from the level of opposition: Nathan lost 7/6 7/5 to Mattéo Vanderlinden (B-15.1, 2 rungs above) 6 days ago, while Joan lost 7/5 6/0 to Sacha Trouvat, same ranking, on 04/07/2026. Over the last 20 matches Joan shows 13 wins and 55 % of games won against 8 wins and 49 % for Nathan, but that record rests on tight matches converted, which counts slightly against him at comparable game margin. Win probability for Nathan: 68 %.
Nathan, five matches in one week, you've mistaken tennis for an all-you-can-eat buffet. Your racquet is about to hand in its notice.
T.C. ODRIMONT · 6 Aug 2026
Round: Round of 16
13 Aug · 16:00
What the calculation predicted
Nathan, first set gone and you flipped the whole thing, just like against Loïs! That stubbornness is your trademark.
Prediction confirmed: the 89 % given to Nathan Jaspard held up despite the 4/6 opening set. The two-rung edge over Maxime told over the distance, as stated.
Fine, the vault door swung open for one set… then you double-locked it. Nathan, I'm putting my jokes away.
Pre-match prediction
Nathan, 5 days ago you dropped the first set against Loïs and still turned the whole thing around. Bring that same stubbornness on court today and nobody stops you.
Nathan Jaspard (B-4/6) holds a two-rung edge over Maxime Schmidt (B0), the heaviest factor in the 89 % assigned to him. Across 20 matches Nathan is 8 wins for 12 losses with 49 % of games won, while Maxime is 12 wins for 8 losses with 47 % of games, a better record built largely on tight matches converted. They have never met.
Nathan, 3 days ago you handed the match to Arno in the third-set tiebreak. Your vault locks beautifully, the door just stays open.
Round: Pre-qualification 2nd round
8 Aug · 16:30
R. LEOPOLD CLUB · 6 Aug 2026
Round: Pre-qualification 1st round
6 Aug · 16:30
What the calculation predicted
Nathan, you beat Richard Urbain (B-15.1, score 95) just days ago with a dominant 6/2 6/0, and that is the exact same ranking as Mattéo today ! You have already shown you can handle this level, so go out there and do it again !
Nathan Jaspard (B-4/6, score 85) faces Mattéo Vanderlinden (B-15.1, score 95), a 10-point gap in the opponent's favour, giving Nathan a calculated win probability of 37%. Nathan's recent form is mixed : 2 wins in the past week but also 3 losses this week against B-15 and B-15.2 level opponents. Mattéo also shows inconsistent form, including a recent loss to a B-4/6 player, the same level as Nathan.
Nathan, losing 6/2 6/0 to Fabian van Huffel four days ago was not exactly a confidence booster, that was closer to a warm-up session where only one guy warmed up. On the bright side, Mattéo also just lost to a B-4/6 recently, so at least you two are bringing equally chaotic energy into this match !
T.C. RESSAIX · 30 Jul 2026
Round: Final
9 Aug · 13:00
What the calculation predicted
A set lost 6/1, then a 6/1 set won straight back and a third set that went all the way to a tie-break: Nathan, you pushed Arno to the absolute limit! I said your level was there, and that third set proves it, next time it tips your way.
I put Nathan's win probability at 32 %, with Arno at B-15 against B-4/6 and a record of 15 wins to 5 losses over his last 20 matches versus 9 wins to 11 losses: the 1/6 6/1 7/6 confirms the call, though that final tie-break shows the gap was narrower than the numbers implied.
Well, I did call it, and it played out... but that third set going to a tie-break had me genuinely worried, top marks for the drama, mate!
Pre-match prediction
Nathan, you beat Vivian Morelli 7/5 6/3 a month ago, while Arno only scraped past him 7/6 6/1 recently, so your level is absolutely there! And your direct win against Arno on 21/05/2026 proves you know exactly how to handle him. Go all in today, this match is yours to take!
Arno van Droogenbroeck is ranked B-15, one level above Nathan Jaspard (B-4/6), and holds a record of 15 wins and 5 losses over his last 20 matches with 61% of games won, compared to 9 wins and 11 losses with 50% of games won for Nathan. Common opponents (5 matches analysed) and game margins also lean in Arno's favour. Nathan Jaspard's estimated probability of winning stands at 32%.
Nathan, you lost 6/4 4/6 6/4 to Arno just a week ago, and here you are lining up against him again. That's either impressive confidence or a very convenient memory, but either way, good luck out there mate!
Round: Semi-final
8 Aug · 20:00
What the calculation predicted
That's exactly the fighting spirit I was talking about : after dropping the second set 4/6, you went and took the decider 6/4, just like against Loïs Defoing. So proud of you, Nathan !
Prediction confirmed : the 70% win probability held up, 6/2 4/6 6/4. The lost second set does back up Maxim's strong recent run, but over three sets the ranking gap decided it.
Fine, you remembered your racket this time. But that 4/6 second set ? Admit it, you just wanted to keep me sweating until the very end.
Pre-match prediction
Nathan, you already beat Maxim two years ago and you are still ranked above him today ! On top of that, just yesterday you came back to beat Loïs Defoing (B-2/6, a level above Maxim) in three sets, showing real fighting spirit. Bring that same energy today and this match is yours !
Nathan Jaspard (B-4/6, score 85) faces Maxim Debrakeleer (B+2/6, score 70), a gap that translates into a 70% win probability for Nathan. Maxim has been in strong form over the past seven days with four wins, including one against Thomas Pezzani (B-4/6), but Nathan demonstrated yesterday against Loïs Defoing (B-2/6, a higher-ranked opponent) that he can win tough matches when it counts. Common opponents offer no clear edge for either player.
Nathan, buddy, you dropped a 6/2 6/0 to Fabian van Huffel just last week, which is basically the tennis equivalent of forgetting your racket at home. Good news though : Maxim is ranked lower than you, so maybe today you actually remember to show up ?
Round: Quarter-final
7 Aug · 11:30
What the calculation predicted
Nathan, just a week ago you crushed Richard Urbain (B-15.1, score 95) with a dominant 6/2 6/0, and today you're facing someone ranked below him! You go into this match as the favourite against Loïs Defoing and your higher ranking backs that up. Go out there and show what you're made of!
Nathan Jaspard (B-4/6, score 85) is ranked higher than Loïs Defoing (B-2/6, score 80), giving him a calculated win probability of 56%. In terms of recent form, Nathan suffered three consecutive losses this week against B-15 and B-15.2 level players (scores 90-100), while Defoing comes in with two wins in the last 7 days against B0 and B+4/6 opponents (scores 65-75). The ranking edge is real, but the recent momentum favours the opponent.
Nathan, you just got bageled 6/2 6/0 by Fabian van Huffel five days ago, which is the kind of scoreline that makes your phone go suspiciously quiet. Then again, Loïs has been beating a B0 and a B+4/6, not exactly Wimbledon qualifiers. You're still the favourite on paper, so maybe just... show up this time?
R.T.C. 1310 LA HULPE · 30 Jul 2026
Round: Pre-qualification 1st round
1 Aug · 15:00
Round: Last round of qualification
27 Jul · 18:30
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Match details
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Ranking and club history
Ranking and clubs evolution over time
| Date | Ranking | Ranking scale (equivalent) | Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | B-4/6 | 85 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/10/2025 | B-2/6 | 80 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/05/2025 | B0 | 75 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/10/2024 | B+2/6 | 70 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/05/2024 | C15.2 | 50 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/10/2023 | C15.1 | 55 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/05/2023 | C15.5 | 35 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/10/2022 | C30 | 30 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/05/2022 | 13.2 | 20 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/10/2021 | 13.2 | 20 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/10/2020 | 13.3 | 15 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/10/2019 | 11.3 | 15 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/10/2018 | 11.3 | 15 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/10/2017 | C30.5 | 5 | Tennis Club Havré |
| 01/10/2016 | NC | 1 | Tennis Club Havré |
| 01/10/2015 | NC | 1 | RAECT Mons |
| 01/10/2014 | NC | 1 | Royal Tennis Club Nimy |
| 01/10/2013 | NC | 1 | Royal Tennis Club Nimy |
Points history
How your points (cumulative ranking) changed over time.
| Date | Current points |
|---|---|
| 24/08/2026 | 1.491,60 pts |
| 03/08/2026 | 1.446,43 pts |
| 20/07/2026 | 1.332,27 pts |
| 06/07/2026 | 1.289,66 pts |
| 29/06/2026 | 1.128,93 pts |
| 22/06/2026 | 0,00 pts |
| 01/06/2026 | 1.083,70 pts |
| 14/05/2026 | 989,37 pts |
| 11/05/2026 | 1.042,05 pts |
| 04/05/2026 | 1.042,88 pts |
| 08/04/2026 | 1.042,45 pts |
| 14/11/2025 | 874,68 pts |
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